a key predict secures me the win (log) ps: you guys should start posting good logs!

[zeroality]

The predict paragraph is in bold.

Rules: Ladder Match, Sleep Clause, Freeze Clause, OHKO Clause, Evasion Clause, Species Clause, Strict Damage Clause, Soul Dew Clause
BANANAFURY sent out Metagross (lvl 100 Metagross).
Gades Gallione sent out Hippowdon (lvl 100 Hippowdon ?).
Hippowdon's Sand Stream whipped up a sandstorm!
A sandstorm brewed!
Metagross used Stealth Rock.
Pointed stones float in the air around the foe's team!
Hippowdon used Earthquake.
It's super effective!
Metagross lost 100% of its health.
BANANAFURY's Metagross fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Celebi (lvl 100 Celebi).
Gades Gallione switched in Heracross (lvl 100 Heracross ?).
Pointed stones dug into Heracross.
Heracross lost 12% of its health.
Celebi used Thunder Wave.
Heracross is paralysed! It may be unable to move!
The sandstorm rages.
Celebi is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Celebi lost 6% of its health.
Heracross is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Heracross lost 6% of its health.
Celebi's leftovers restored its health a little!
Celebi restored 6% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Salamence (lvl 100 Salamence ?).
Salamence's Intimidate cut Heracross's attack!
Gades Gallione switched in Tyranitar (lvl 100 Tyranitar ?).
Tyranitar's Sand Stream whipped up a sandstorm!
Pointed stones dug into Tyranitar.
Tyranitar lost 12% of its health.
The sandstorm rages.
Salamence is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Salamence lost 6% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Swampert (lvl 100 Swampert ?).
Tyranitar used Stone Edge.
It's not very effective...
Swampert lost 36% of its health.
Tyranitar lost 10% of its health.
The sandstorm rages.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Kingdra (lvl 100 Kingdra ?).
Pointed stones dug into Kingdra.
Kingdra lost 12% of its health.
Swampert used Waterfall.
It's not very effective...
Kingdra lost 11% of its health.
The sandstorm rages.
Kingdra is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Kingdra lost 6% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Celebi (lvl 100 Celebi).
Kingdra used Dragon Dance.
Kingdra's attack was raised.
Kingdra's speed was raised.
The sandstorm rages.
Kingdra is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Kingdra lost 6% of its health.
Celebi is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Celebi lost 6% of its health.
Celebi's leftovers restored its health a little!
Celebi restored 6% of its health.
---
Kingdra used Substitute.
Kingdra lost 25% of its health.
Kingdra made a substitute!
Celebi used Grass Knot.
The substitute took damage for Kingdra!
Kingdra's substitute faded!
The sandstorm rages.
Kingdra is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Kingdra lost 6% of its health.
Celebi is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Celebi lost 6% of its health.
Celebi's leftovers restored its health a little!
Celebi restored 6% of its health.
---
Kingdra used Outrage.
Kingdra went on a rampage!
Celebi lost 45% of its health.
Celebi used Thunder Wave.
Kingdra is paralysed! It may be unable to move!
Kingdra's Lum Berry cured its Paralysis!
The sandstorm rages.
Kingdra is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Kingdra lost 6% of its health.
Celebi is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Celebi lost 6% of its health.
Celebi's leftovers restored its health a little!
Celebi restored 6% of its health.
---
Kingdra used Outrage.
Celebi lost 46% of its health.
Celebi used Leech Seed.
Kingdra was seeded!
The sandstorm rages.
Kingdra is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Kingdra lost 6% of its health.
Celebi is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Celebi lost 6% of its health.
Kingdra's health was sapped by leech seed!
Kingdra lost 12% of its health.
Celebi regained health!
Celebi restored 9% of its health.
Celebi's leftovers restored its health a little!
Celebi restored 6% of its health.
---
Kingdra used Outrage.
Celebi lost 18% of its health.
BANANAFURY's Celebi fainted.
Kingdra's rampage ended.
Kingdra became confused!
The sandstorm rages.
Kingdra is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Kingdra lost 6% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Vaporeon (lvl 100 Vaporeon ?).
Kingdra is confused!
It hurt itself in its confusion!
Kingdra lost 3% of its health.
Gades Gallione's Kingdra fainted.
Vaporeon used Wish.
Vaporeon made a wish!
The sandstorm rages.
Vaporeon is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Vaporeon lost 6% of its health.
Vaporeon's leftovers restored its health a little!
Vaporeon restored 6% of its health.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Scizor (lvl 100 Scizor ?).
Pointed stones dug into Scizor.
Scizor lost 12% of its health.
Scizor used Swords Dance.
Scizor's attack was sharply raised.
Vaporeon used Surf.
Scizor lost 52% of its health.
The wish came true!
The sandstorm rages.
Vaporeon is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Vaporeon lost 6% of its health.
Vaporeon's leftovers restored its health a little!
Vaporeon restored 6% of its health.
---
Scizor used Bug Bite.
Vaporeon lost 83% of its health.
Scizor lost 10% of its health.
Vaporeon used Surf.
Scizor lost 26% of its health.
Gades Gallione's Scizor fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
Vaporeon is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Vaporeon lost 6% of its health.
Vaporeon's leftovers restored its health a little!
Vaporeon restored 6% of its health.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Infernape (lvl 100 Infernape ?).
Pointed stones dug into Infernape.
Infernape lost 12% of its health.
Vaporeon used Protect.
Vaporeon protected itself!
Infernape used Thunderpunch.
Vaporeon protected itself!
The sandstorm rages.
Infernape is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Infernape lost 6% of its health.
Vaporeon is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Vaporeon lost 6% of its health.
Vaporeon's leftovers restored its health a little!
Vaporeon restored 6% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Swampert (lvl 100 Swampert ?).
Infernape used Thunderpunch.
It doesn't affect Swampert...
The sandstorm rages.
Infernape is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Infernape lost 6% of its health.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Heracross (lvl 100 Heracross ?).
Pointed stones dug into Heracross.
Heracross lost 12% of its health.
Swampert used Waterfall.
Heracross lost 52% of its health.
The sandstorm rages.
Heracross is buffetted by the sandstorm!
Heracross lost 6% of its health.
---
Swampert used Waterfall.
Heracross lost 12% of its health.
Gades Gallione's Heracross fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Hippowdon (lvl 100 Hippowdon ?).
Hippowdon's Sand Stream whipped up a sandstorm!
Pointed stones dug into Hippowdon.
Hippowdon lost 6% of its health.
BANANAFURY switched in Salamence (lvl 100 Salamence ?).
Salamence's Intimidate cut Hippowdon's attack!
Hippowdon used Ice Fang.
It's super effective!
Salamence lost 94% of its health.
BANANAFURY's Salamence fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Heatran (lvl 100 Heatran ?).
Gades Gallione switched in Tyranitar (lvl 100 Tyranitar ?).
Tyranitar's Sand Stream whipped up a sandstorm!
Pointed stones dug into Tyranitar.
Tyranitar lost 12% of its health.
Heatran used Substitute.
Heatran lost 25% of its health.
Heatran made a substitute!
The sandstorm rages.
Heatran's leftovers restored its health a little!
Heatran restored 6% of its health.
---
Heatran used Will-o-wisp.
Tyranitar was burned!
Tyranitar used Earthquake.
It's super effective!
The substitute took damage for Heatran!
Heatran's substitute faded!
The sandstorm rages.
Heatran's leftovers restored its health a little!
Heatran restored 6% of its health.
Tyranitar was hurt by its burn!
Tyranitar lost 12% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Vaporeon (lvl 100 Vaporeon ?).
Tyranitar used Earthquake.
Vaporeon lost 17% of its health.
BANANAFURY's Vaporeon fainted.
Tyranitar lost 10% of its health.
The sandstorm rages.
Tyranitar was hurt by its burn!
Tyranitar lost 12% of its health.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Swampert (lvl 100 Swampert ?).
Swampert used Waterfall.
It's super effective!
Tyranitar lost 31% of its health.
Gades Gallione's Tyranitar fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Hippowdon (lvl 100 Hippowdon ?).
Hippowdon's Sand Stream whipped up a sandstorm!
Pointed stones dug into Hippowdon.
Hippowdon lost 6% of its health.
Swampert used Waterfall.
It's super effective!
Hippowdon lost 55% of its health.
Hippowdon used Earthquake.
Swampert lost 64% of its health.
BANANAFURY's Swampert fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
---
BANANAFURY switched in Heatran (lvl 100 Heatran ?).
Heatran used Fire Blast.
Hippowdon lost 33% of its health.
Gades Gallione's Hippowdon fainted.
The sandstorm rages.
Heatran's leftovers restored its health a little!
Heatran restored 6% of its health.
---
Gades Gallione switched in Infernape (lvl 100 Infernape ?).
Pointed stones dug into Infernape.
Infernape lost 12% of its health.
Infernape used Close Combat.
It's super effective!
Heatran lost 94% of its health.
BANANAFURY's Heatran fainted.
Gades Gallione wins!
BANANAFURY has left the room.

[Reliability]

I'm a failure at making predictions.

I would post my own, but a lot of my recent victories have been people quitting when things took grim for them. I also don't want to give away my Uber team just yet. >.> Perhaps when the tournament is over.

[SilentSentinel]

I stink at predicting too. If that would have been me, I would have lost for sure.

[ImmunityBow]

I don't get it. A fast Swampert with Waterfall has a fair advantage over Hippowdon, no? Why wouldn't he just stay in and test his luck with the flinch chance?

[Reliability]

Perhaps he was keeping it as an Infernape counter? It really doesn't make much sense to me either, but its easier not to question it.

[zeroality]

I didn't want to make a new topic just for this so I'm posting here. I am now saving first turn logs where my anti-lead Hippo destroys their lead, so I can show how good it is. So far I have 4, Hippo OHKOing Azelf, Heatran, Jirachi and Metagross. I wish I had done this from the beginning of me using anti-lead Hippo - I'd have a log on a good chunk of the top 20-30 leads.

The one I am really coveting is Ice Fang OHKOing Gliscor. I've done it before but several problems exist in recreating it: Sand Veil/95% accuracy of Ice Fang, max HP/Def, Yache Berry and the biggest problem - the rarity of Gliscor leads. I've only faced two since I started saving first turn logs and the first one had max hp/def and the second had Yache berry.

Pokemon I need to get (and can do):

Tyranitar
Infernape (assuming it SRs instead of Fake Out)
Gliscor
Dragonite
Crobat (I'm not sure if Ice Fang OHKOs - haven't faced one since I switched from Stone Edge)
Abomasnow (non sash only since Obama is slower, thus Hail overrides Sandstorm)
Electrode
Salamence
Froslass
Umbreon
Claydol

I might keep a separate log where it does 'moderately well' against some leads - like Swampert (if not enough def, it will do 50%+, making it a 2hko - assuming Swampert goes to SR), Aerodactyl (2hko), Machamp (Hippo will take significant damage but if no confusehax then it's a 2hko since Hippo outspeeds most of the time), Ambipom (will OHKO with Superpower after Fake Out), Weavile (will take moderate damage but Superpower will OHKO), Lucario (assuming it SDs without sash / Hippo taking the CC and OHKOing), Gengar (assuming no Hypnosis, Hippo will take damage then kill), Jolteon (takes damage but OHKOs after) Alakazam (takes damage but OHKOs after, assuming no Specs), Gallade (takes damage but OHKOs after), Arcanine (takes damage but OHKOs after), Rotom (assuming no reflect, takes damage but OHKOs after), Nidoking (takes damage but OHKOs after or OHKOs after a toxic spike assuming no sash).

And that's the leads out of the top 50 that Hippo can beat, with the 2nd list being partially conditional.

Leads Hippo has to switch out of (or can't kill before dying):

Roserade
Ninjask
Bronzong
Forretress
Starmie
Skarmory
Uxie
Mamoswine
Empoleon
Yanmega
Togekiss
Zapdos
Flygon
Charizard
Moltres
Jumpluff

aaaaaaaaand that's it for the top 50! Phew, I didn't mean to make this so long but once I got going, I couldn't stop. This is mostly for me to reference anyway.